onlinesportspoker: Question for Poker Pros?

Saturday, 11 May 2013

Question for Poker Pros?

Question for Poker Pros?
Hi guys,

I’ve heard the below, wondering whether you think it’s true.

For preface, good and bad luck cancel each other out over time, I think you all would agree with this.

On the basis on this, I would expect poker to work like this. Two players, A and B. They both have 50% chance of winning the hand. Obviously, either A or B win. Fine. Next hand comes. A and B. 50% chance for both of them winning. Wouldn’t you expect the one who lost the last hand to win this time? Or let’s say, the winner of the first hand wins this hand as well. Wouldn’t you expect at least the loser to win on the third time? And generally, wouldn’t you expect for good and bad luck to cancel each other out during a poker game?

I am asking this, because I’ve heard that good and bad luck cancel each other out in a much longer time, so you might lose with AA all the time for a week, but then win all the time with weaker hands. To bring an example, A is a good player, he wins for about a year, but then the next year his bad luck takes over and regardless of how good player he is, he losses all the time.

I think this is a bit shocking and unbelievable but what do you think, have you experienced this or how much element of truth is there in this?
P.S. how can there not be good and bad luck? you’re right, there are probabilities of winning, but good luck operates when you have less probability to win but you win because the cards opened are in your favour and bad luck operates when you have more probability to win but you lose because the cards give a better hand to your opponent – isn’t this good or bad luck?

Best answer:

Answer by pookie
There is no such thing as “Good Luck” and “Bad Luck”.

Poker is simply about probability. Everyone has even odds of winning a hand…it all depends on how well you can bluff.

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